| Northumberland County vs. Virginia Comparative Trends Analysis: Total Industry Earnings Growth and Change, 1969-2022 Introduction Northumberland County: 2022 Earnings = $211,974K 2022 Percent of State = 0.05% Virginia: 2022 Earnings = $410,883,004K 2022 Percent of U.S. = 2.70% Industry earnings are incomes received by people who are directly involved with producing goods and services. Earnings, referred to also as "labor and proprietors income", include (1) wage and salary disbursements, (2) other labor income such as employer contributions to private retirement and medical insurance programs, and (3) the net incomes of proprietors (i.e., the owners of unincorporated enterprises). In contrast to the more frequently cited employment data, earnings data more accurately reflect qualitative differences in labor's contributions toward the production of goods and services, namely the productivity differences reflected in variations in earnings per job. Earnings data, therefore, are better for comparing and tracking long-term trends and identifying short-run shifts in the level and composition of economic activity within and among counties. Just like the employment data compiled by BEA, earnings data are reported on a place-of-work, or more accurately on a place-where-earned, basis. Note: the BEA earnings data presented and discussed here in the context of comparing and assessing the economic growth and performance of county and regional economies are entirely separate and apart from--and should not be confused with--corporate earnings, which are compiled from the balance sheets of individual private corporations. Figure 1. Figure 1 depicts Northumberland County's annual total industry earnings over 1970-2022 in current and constant (2017) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Northumberland County over time. When measured in current dollars, Northumberland County's total industry earnings increased 1,475.90%, from $13M in 1970 to $212M in 2022. When measured in constant 2017 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 168.43%, from $68M in 1970 to $183M in 2022. Figure 2. Figure 2 traces Northumberland County's and Virginia's annual real total industry earnings for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate real total industry earnings patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Northumberland County's real total industry earnings rose from $64M in 1969 to $183M in 2022, for a net gain of $119M, or 185.52%. In comparison, Virginia's real total industry earnings advanced from $73,551M in 1969 to $354,078M in 2022, for a net gain of $280,527M, or 381.41%. Figure 3. Figure 3 portrays Northumberland County's real total industry earnings growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Virginia, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real total industry earnings in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real total industry earningss in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real total industry earnings growth between regions that may differ vastly in size. Northumberland County's overall real total industry earnings growth was 185.52% over 1969-2022 trailed Virginia's increase of 381.41%, and fell below the United States' increase of 278.59%. Figure 4. Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the total industry earnings growth of Northumberland County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to Virginia's statewide total industry earnings over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total industry earnings grew faster, or declined less, than Virginia's total industry earnings, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly. In 1969, Northumberland County's total industry earnings comprised 0.09% of Virginia's total industry earnings, while in 2022 it equated to 0.05% thereby yielding a -0.04% share-shift. | | | | Total Industry Earnings Share-Shift 2022 vs. 1969 | Share- Shift* | | 2022 | vs. | 1969 | | -0.04% | = | 0.05% | - | 0.09% |
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Figure 5. Figure 5 shows the short-run pattern of Northumberland County's real total industry earnings growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, Northumberland County's real total industry earnings grew at an annual rate of 2.39% over 1970-2022. The county posted its highest growth in 1992 (42.66%) and posted its lowest growth in 1993 (-26.93%). In 2022, Northumberland County's real total industry earnings declined by -7.56% Figure 6. Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Northumberland County's real total industry earnings since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022. During the 1970s, Northumberland County's annual real total industry earnings growth rate averaged 3.76%. It averaged 2.40% throughout the 1980s, 3.34% during the 1990s, 0.83% during the 2000s, 3.18% throughout the 2010s, -2.78% thus far this decade (2020-2022). Figure 7. Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Northumberland County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Virginia and the nation. As the chart reveals, Northumberland County's average annual real total industry earnings growth outgained Virginia's average during the 1970s (3.76% vs. 3.72%), trailed Virginia's average throughout the 1980s (2.40% vs. 4.23%), lagged Virginia's average in the 1990s (3.34% vs. 3.37%), fell below Virginia's average throughout the 2000s (0.83% vs. 2.58%), surpassed Virginia's average in the 2010s (3.18% vs. 1.69%), and posted below Virginia's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (-2.78% vs. 1.71%). Finally, relative to nationwide real total industry earnings growth trends, Northumberland County outperformed the nation over the 1970s (3.76% vs. 3.13%), fell below the nation in the 1980s (2.40% vs. 2.62%), posted below the nation over the 1990s (3.34% vs. 3.43%), trailed the nation over the 2000s (0.83% vs. 1.47%), outpaced the nation in the 2010s (3.18% vs. 2.53%), and posted below the nation over 2020-2022 (-2.78% vs. 1.48%). | | | | Real* Total Industry Earnings Growth: Average Annual Percent Change | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2.39 | 3.76 | 2.40 | 3.34 | 0.83 | 3.18 | -2.78 | -7.56 | | | 3.04 | 3.72 | 4.23 | 3.37 | 2.58 | 1.69 | 1.71 | 0.48 | | | 2.57 | 3.13 | 2.62 | 3.43 | 1.47 | 2.53 | 1.48 | 0.05 |
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Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | Northumberland County: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 12,081 | 0.189 | 63,978 | 100.0 | N | 0.09 | 1970 | | 13,451 | 0.198 | 68,051 | 106.4 | 6.37 | 0.09 | 1971 | | 13,984 | 0.206 | 67,867 | 106.1 | -0.27 | 0.09 | 1972 | | 16,043 | 0.213 | 75,291 | 117.7 | 10.94 | 0.09 | 1973 | | 19,610 | 0.225 | 87,330 | 136.5 | 15.99 | 0.10 | 1974 | | 21,877 | 0.248 | 88,239 | 137.9 | 1.04 | 0.10 | 1975 | | 20,965 | 0.269 | 78,053 | 122.0 | -11.54 | 0.09 | 1976 | | 23,679 | 0.283 | 83,574 | 130.6 | 7.07 | 0.09 | 1977 | | 24,632 | 0.302 | 81,628 | 127.6 | -2.33 | 0.08 | 1978 | | 31,852 | 0.323 | 98,686 | 154.2 | 20.90 | 0.10 | 1979 | | 31,010 | 0.351 | 88,239 | 137.9 | -10.59 | 0.08 | 1980 | | 32,789 | 0.389 | 84,230 | 131.7 | -4.54 | 0.08 | 1981 | | 33,517 | 0.424 | 79,022 | 123.5 | -6.18 | 0.07 | 1982 | | 35,094 | 0.448 | 78,386 | 122.5 | -0.80 | 0.07 | 1983 | | 37,267 | 0.467 | 79,842 | 124.8 | 1.86 | 0.07 | 1984 | | 40,493 | 0.484 | 83,596 | 130.7 | 4.70 | 0.07 | 1985 | | 43,712 | 0.501 | 87,201 | 136.3 | 4.31 | 0.07 | 1986 | | 45,091 | 0.512 | 88,036 | 137.6 | 0.96 | 0.06 | 1987 | | 50,533 | 0.528 | 95,703 | 149.6 | 8.71 | 0.06 | 1988 | | 59,090 | 0.549 | 107,701 | 168.3 | 12.54 | 0.07 | 1989 | | 63,172 | 0.573 | 110,323 | 172.4 | 2.43 | 0.07 | 1990 | | 64,962 | 0.598 | 108,678 | 169.9 | -1.49 | 0.07 | 1991 | | 70,084 | 0.618 | 113,452 | 177.3 | 4.39 | 0.07 | 1992 | | 102,645 | 0.634 | 161,850 | 253.0 | 42.66 | 0.10 | 1993 | | 76,873 | 0.650 | 118,266 | 184.9 | -26.93 | 0.07 | 1994 | | 78,936 | 0.664 | 118,958 | 185.9 | 0.59 | 0.07 | 1995 | | 83,334 | 0.678 | 122,995 | 192.2 | 3.39 | 0.07 | 1996 | | 89,968 | 0.692 | 130,006 | 203.2 | 5.70 | 0.07 | 1997 | | 95,691 | 0.704 | 135,911 | 212.4 | 4.54 | 0.07 | 1998 | | 95,004 | 0.710 | 133,871 | 209.2 | -1.50 | 0.06 | 1999 | | 98,405 | 0.720 | 136,672 | 213.6 | 2.09 | 0.06 | 2000 | | 96,136 | 0.738 | 130,227 | 203.5 | -4.72 | 0.05 | 2001 | | 103,002 | 0.753 | 136,785 | 213.8 | 5.04 | 0.06 | 2002 | | 104,728 | 0.763 | 137,274 | 214.6 | 0.36 | 0.06 | 2003 | | 112,634 | 0.779 | 144,599 | 226.0 | 5.34 | 0.06 | 2004 | | 128,271 | 0.798 | 160,686 | 251.2 | 11.13 | 0.06 | 2005 | | 132,479 | 0.821 | 161,310 | 252.1 | 0.39 | 0.06 | 2006 | | 136,283 | 0.844 | 161,396 | 252.3 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 2007 | | 139,968 | 0.866 | 161,613 | 252.6 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 2008 | | 136,226 | 0.892 | 152,771 | 238.8 | -5.47 | 0.05 | 2009 | | 130,529 | 0.889 | 146,792 | 229.4 | -3.91 | 0.05 | 2010 | | 130,065 | 0.905 | 143,696 | 224.6 | -2.11 | 0.05 | 2011 | | 137,858 | 0.928 | 148,547 | 232.2 | 3.38 | 0.05 | 2012 | | 140,443 | 0.945 | 148,563 | 232.2 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 2013 | | 144,572 | 0.958 | 150,940 | 235.9 | 1.60 | 0.05 | 2014 | | 141,506 | 0.971 | 145,701 | 227.7 | -3.47 | 0.05 | 2015 | | 148,536 | 0.973 | 152,659 | 238.6 | 4.78 | 0.05 | 2016 | | 155,747 | 0.983 | 158,466 | 247.7 | 3.80 | 0.05 | 2017 | | 167,507 | 1.000 | 167,507 | 261.8 | 5.71 | 0.05 | 2018 | | 181,467 | 1.020 | 177,827 | 277.9 | 6.16 | 0.05 | 2019 | | 206,154 | 1.035 | 199,158 | 311.3 | 12.00 | 0.06 | 2020 | | 209,067 | 1.046 | 199,806 | 312.3 | 0.33 | 0.06 | 2021 | | 215,395 | 1.090 | 197,608 | 308.9 | -1.10 | 0.06 | 2022 | | 211,974 | 1.160 | 182,668 | 285.5 | -7.56 | 0.05 |
Source: Calculations by the Virginia Regional Economic Analysis Project (VA-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PSN | | | | |
Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | Virginia: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 13,888,586 | 0.189 | 73,550,739 | 100.0 | N | 2.12 | 1970 | | 14,888,650 | 0.198 | 75,324,547 | 102.4 | 2.41 | 2.15 | 1971 | | 16,361,556 | 0.206 | 79,405,756 | 108.0 | 5.42 | 2.20 | 1972 | | 18,247,954 | 0.213 | 85,638,981 | 116.4 | 7.85 | 2.23 | 1973 | | 20,494,163 | 0.225 | 91,267,704 | 124.1 | 6.57 | 2.23 | 1974 | | 22,487,701 | 0.248 | 90,701,815 | 123.3 | -0.62 | 2.26 | 1975 | | 24,107,514 | 0.269 | 89,752,472 | 122.0 | -1.05 | 2.28 | 1976 | | 26,730,974 | 0.283 | 94,345,724 | 128.3 | 5.12 | 2.28 | 1977 | | 29,632,785 | 0.302 | 98,199,844 | 133.5 | 4.09 | 2.27 | 1978 | | 33,472,938 | 0.323 | 103,708,446 | 141.0 | 5.61 | 2.27 | 1979 | | 37,101,589 | 0.351 | 105,573,198 | 143.5 | 1.80 | 2.25 | 1980 | | 40,839,542 | 0.389 | 104,910,455 | 142.6 | -0.63 | 2.29 | 1981 | | 45,398,788 | 0.424 | 107,034,747 | 145.5 | 2.02 | 2.31 | 1982 | | 48,645,343 | 0.448 | 108,653,689 | 147.7 | 1.51 | 2.37 | 1983 | | 53,078,422 | 0.467 | 113,716,732 | 154.6 | 4.66 | 2.43 | 1984 | | 59,515,460 | 0.484 | 122,866,822 | 167.1 | 8.05 | 2.45 | 1985 | | 65,054,570 | 0.501 | 129,776,911 | 176.4 | 5.62 | 2.49 | 1986 | | 70,915,359 | 0.512 | 138,455,181 | 188.2 | 6.69 | 2.54 | 1987 | | 77,743,162 | 0.528 | 147,235,260 | 200.2 | 6.34 | 2.59 | 1988 | | 85,293,416 | 0.549 | 155,460,523 | 211.4 | 5.59 | 2.62 | 1989 | | 91,220,891 | 0.573 | 159,307,192 | 216.6 | 2.47 | 2.63 | 1990 | | 95,102,916 | 0.598 | 159,101,491 | 216.3 | -0.13 | 2.58 | 1991 | | 98,530,957 | 0.618 | 159,502,310 | 216.9 | 0.25 | 2.60 | 1992 | | 104,802,966 | 0.634 | 165,252,233 | 224.7 | 3.60 | 2.58 | 1993 | | 109,727,435 | 0.650 | 168,811,438 | 229.5 | 2.15 | 2.59 | 1994 | | 115,317,751 | 0.664 | 173,786,471 | 236.3 | 2.95 | 2.59 | 1995 | | 120,285,825 | 0.678 | 177,533,171 | 241.4 | 2.16 | 2.57 | 1996 | | 126,802,379 | 0.692 | 183,232,488 | 249.1 | 3.21 | 2.56 | 1997 | | 135,741,537 | 0.704 | 192,795,513 | 262.1 | 5.22 | 2.57 | 1998 | | 147,511,278 | 0.710 | 207,858,974 | 282.6 | 7.81 | 2.58 | 1999 | | 159,419,000 | 0.720 | 221,412,203 | 301.0 | 6.52 | 2.61 | 2000 | | 175,309,707 | 0.738 | 237,476,236 | 322.9 | 7.26 | 2.66 | 2001 | | 184,666,498 | 0.753 | 245,234,520 | 333.4 | 3.27 | 2.69 | 2002 | | 189,151,512 | 0.763 | 247,934,241 | 337.1 | 1.10 | 2.70 | 2003 | | 199,943,911 | 0.779 | 256,687,179 | 349.0 | 3.53 | 2.76 | 2004 | | 216,849,751 | 0.798 | 271,649,631 | 369.3 | 5.83 | 2.83 | 2005 | | 230,677,524 | 0.821 | 280,879,034 | 381.9 | 3.40 | 2.87 | 2006 | | 241,768,620 | 0.844 | 286,320,014 | 389.3 | 1.94 | 2.84 | 2007 | | 251,551,993 | 0.866 | 290,452,265 | 394.9 | 1.44 | 2.84 | 2008 | | 255,751,400 | 0.892 | 286,813,278 | 390.0 | -1.25 | 2.84 | 2009 | | 253,301,547 | 0.889 | 284,861,334 | 387.3 | -0.68 | 2.92 | 2010 | | 263,974,651 | 0.905 | 291,639,582 | 396.5 | 2.38 | 2.93 | 2011 | | 272,115,957 | 0.928 | 293,215,763 | 398.7 | 0.54 | 2.88 | 2012 | | 282,095,603 | 0.945 | 298,406,502 | 405.7 | 1.77 | 2.86 | 2013 | | 284,627,716 | 0.958 | 297,165,112 | 404.0 | -0.42 | 2.80 | 2014 | | 291,940,359 | 0.971 | 300,594,474 | 408.7 | 1.15 | 2.75 | 2015 | | 304,543,215 | 0.973 | 312,997,271 | 425.6 | 4.13 | 2.76 | 2016 | | 310,125,950 | 0.983 | 315,540,627 | 429.0 | 0.81 | 2.74 | 2017 | | 321,253,019 | 1.000 | 321,253,019 | 436.8 | 1.81 | 2.71 | 2018 | | 332,431,085 | 1.020 | 325,762,722 | 442.9 | 1.40 | 2.67 | 2019 | | 348,430,795 | 1.035 | 336,605,832 | 457.7 | 3.33 | 2.68 | 2020 | | 356,186,449 | 1.046 | 340,408,514 | 462.8 | 1.13 | 2.71 | 2021 | | 384,089,912 | 1.090 | 352,372,833 | 479.1 | 3.51 | 2.69 | 2022 | | 410,883,004 | 1.160 | 354,078,233 | 481.4 | 0.48 | 2.70 |
Source: Calculations by the Virginia Regional Economic Analysis Project (VA-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PSN | | | | |
Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | United States: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 653,665,000 | 0.189 | 3,461,658,635 | 100.0 | N | 1970 | | 693,352,000 | 0.198 | 3,507,801,275 | 101.3 | 1.33 | 1971 | | 742,094,000 | 0.206 | 3,601,523,902 | 104.0 | 2.67 | 1972 | | 819,646,000 | 0.213 | 3,846,658,532 | 111.1 | 6.81 | 1973 | | 918,964,000 | 0.225 | 4,092,469,383 | 118.2 | 6.39 | 1974 | | 993,909,000 | 0.248 | 4,008,829,105 | 115.8 | -2.04 | 1975 | | 1,059,492,000 | 0.269 | 3,944,497,394 | 113.9 | -1.60 | 1976 | | 1,173,271,000 | 0.283 | 4,141,005,188 | 119.6 | 4.98 | 1977 | | 1,303,767,000 | 0.302 | 4,320,542,816 | 124.8 | 4.34 | 1978 | | 1,476,080,000 | 0.323 | 4,573,305,242 | 132.1 | 5.85 | 1979 | | 1,648,363,000 | 0.351 | 4,690,444,754 | 135.5 | 2.56 | 1980 | | 1,784,597,000 | 0.389 | 4,584,353,165 | 132.4 | -2.26 | 1981 | | 1,961,173,000 | 0.424 | 4,623,772,250 | 133.6 | 0.86 | 1982 | | 2,053,729,000 | 0.448 | 4,587,185,902 | 132.5 | -0.79 | 1983 | | 2,188,018,000 | 0.467 | 4,687,672,466 | 135.4 | 2.19 | 1984 | | 2,432,402,000 | 0.484 | 5,021,577,654 | 145.1 | 7.12 | 1985 | | 2,615,791,000 | 0.501 | 5,218,223,348 | 150.7 | 3.92 | 1986 | | 2,786,901,000 | 0.512 | 5,441,146,840 | 157.2 | 4.27 | 1987 | | 2,996,000,000 | 0.528 | 5,674,027,499 | 163.9 | 4.28 | 1988 | | 3,259,979,000 | 0.549 | 5,941,819,010 | 171.6 | 4.72 | 1989 | | 3,467,027,000 | 0.573 | 6,054,778,994 | 174.9 | 1.90 | 1990 | | 3,679,460,000 | 0.598 | 6,155,516,520 | 177.8 | 1.66 | 1991 | | 3,789,428,000 | 0.618 | 6,134,341,309 | 177.2 | -0.34 | 1992 | | 4,059,023,000 | 0.634 | 6,400,225,481 | 184.9 | 4.33 | 1993 | | 4,237,437,000 | 0.650 | 6,519,133,846 | 188.3 | 1.86 | 1994 | | 4,456,948,000 | 0.664 | 6,716,721,924 | 194.0 | 3.03 | 1995 | | 4,674,849,000 | 0.678 | 6,899,738,761 | 199.3 | 2.72 | 1996 | | 4,956,180,000 | 0.692 | 7,161,799,344 | 206.9 | 3.80 | 1997 | | 5,288,047,000 | 0.704 | 7,510,683,597 | 217.0 | 4.87 | 1998 | | 5,707,014,000 | 0.710 | 8,041,785,619 | 232.3 | 7.07 | 1999 | | 6,098,042,000 | 0.720 | 8,469,385,147 | 244.7 | 5.32 | 2000 | | 6,598,743,000 | 0.738 | 8,938,721,519 | 258.2 | 5.54 | 2001 | | 6,865,291,000 | 0.753 | 9,117,010,172 | 263.4 | 1.99 | 2002 | | 7,001,002,000 | 0.763 | 9,176,707,606 | 265.1 | 0.65 | 2003 | | 7,243,377,000 | 0.779 | 9,299,017,896 | 268.6 | 1.33 | 2004 | | 7,674,785,000 | 0.798 | 9,614,272,113 | 277.7 | 3.39 | 2005 | | 8,039,238,000 | 0.821 | 9,788,788,097 | 282.8 | 1.82 | 2006 | | 8,519,349,000 | 0.844 | 10,089,233,775 | 291.5 | 3.07 | 2007 | | 8,866,261,000 | 0.866 | 10,237,349,175 | 295.7 | 1.47 | 2008 | | 9,014,085,000 | 0.892 | 10,108,876,304 | 292.0 | -1.25 | 2009 | | 8,688,913,000 | 0.889 | 9,771,497,172 | 282.3 | -3.34 | 2010 | | 9,023,916,000 | 0.905 | 9,969,635,637 | 288.0 | 2.03 | 2011 | | 9,444,387,000 | 0.928 | 10,176,702,513 | 294.0 | 2.08 | 2012 | | 9,854,834,000 | 0.945 | 10,424,645,101 | 301.1 | 2.44 | 2013 | | 10,180,570,000 | 0.958 | 10,629,007,841 | 307.0 | 1.96 | 2014 | | 10,613,874,000 | 0.971 | 10,928,505,678 | 315.7 | 2.82 | 2015 | | 11,039,821,000 | 0.973 | 11,346,284,134 | 327.8 | 3.82 | 2016 | | 11,311,477,000 | 0.983 | 11,508,970,941 | 332.5 | 1.43 | 2017 | | 11,848,205,000 | 1.000 | 11,848,205,000 | 342.3 | 2.95 | 2018 | | 12,438,590,000 | 1.020 | 12,189,079,542 | 352.1 | 2.88 | 2019 | | 12,989,097,000 | 1.035 | 12,548,276,062 | 362.5 | 2.95 | 2020 | | 13,158,025,000 | 1.046 | 12,575,166,053 | 363.3 | 0.21 | 2021 | | 14,278,043,000 | 1.090 | 13,099,001,844 | 378.4 | 4.17 | 2022 | | 15,207,952,000 | 1.160 | 13,105,445,395 | 378.6 | 0.05 |
Source: Calculations by the Virginia Regional Economic Analysis Project (VA-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PN | | | | |
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